Wednesday, 20 August 2025

How to Play in the Artificial Intelligence Market? 8-Pronged Strategy

 Key Structural Trends

  • Agentic AI – autonomous, tool-using agents
  • Multimodality as default – text, vision, audio, video
  • Long-context workflows (1M tokens)
  • Open-weight momentum (Llama 3.1)
  • Compute stratification (Blackwell GPUs, custom TPUs)
  • Model-cloud realignment (multi-cloud serving)
  • Enterprise guardrails & governance
  • Sector AI platforms outperforming generic copilots
  • Public sector adoption as beachhead
  • Education/user acquisition flywheels
Threats and Risks

  • Compute scarcity & pricing power concentrated in top vendors
  • Fast-moving regulatory environment (EU AI Act milestones)
  • Platform dependency risks (lock-in)
  • Safety & IP provenance challenges
  • Geopolitical/export control uncertainties
  • Talent bottlenecks in LLM, eval, MLOps

Top Players

  • OpenAI – frontier models, Azure alignment, exploring multi-cloud
  • Google (Gemini + Vertex) – deep research, integrated suite
  • Anthropic – safety leadership, enterprise focus
  • Meta (Llama) – open-weight leader, developer mindshare
  • Microsoft (Azure AI + Copilot) – strong enterprise distribution
  • AWS (Bedrock) – model marketplace, governance tooling
  • NVIDIA – de facto AI infra leader

SWOT Analysis of Key Players




Porter's 5 forces - AI Platforms
  • Supplier Power – High (GPU & dataset scarcity)
  • Buyer Power – Rising (multi-model options, open weights)
  • Threat of Substitutes – Medium (classical ML, RPA)
  • Threat of New Entrants – Medium (lower barriers but high capex)
  • Industry Rivalry – Very High (model leapfrogging, bundling)

Actionable Strategic Direction
  • Adopt dual-track model strategy (closed + open-weight)
  • Standardize on multi-model platform with governance
  • Secure compute lanes (pre-book GPUs, diversify clouds)
  • Stand up AI Platform PMO (Model Ops, Agent Ops, Compliance)
  • Map systems to EU AI Act now
  • Sequenced roadmap – 90d, 180d, 360d value capture
  • Track economics (TCO, agent success, GPU utilization)
  • Partnership strategy – cloud co-sell + open-weight community



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